analysis volatility transmission from world oil prices to stock markets (a survey: selection opec countries)

نویسندگان

سعید صمدی

دانشیار رشتة اقتصاد، دانشگاه اصفهان علی خرمی پور

دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد علوم اقتصادی، دانشگاه اصفهان انسیه مصدقی

دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد علوم اقتصادی، دانشگاه اصفهان سیده اکرم میرمهدی

دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد علوم اقتصادی، دانشگاه اصفهان

چکیده

oil-exporting economies largely dependent on oil revenues and oil income fluctuation are one of the most important factors that influence sectors of the economy specially the stock market. this paper investigate the relationship between oil markets and stock return volatility and transmission in a selection of opec countries, using a multivariate garch models (full-vech) over the period may 2010 to january 2013 with daily data. this study attempts to examine returns effect of oil price on the stock markets. on the whole, our results point to the existence of substantial return and volatility spillovers between world oil prices and opec stock markets. stock exchange of tehran and kuwait, respectively least and most affected by the oil global market price shocks and volatility. the results indicate that the efficiency of the oil market with a lag has significantly positive effect on stock market returns in all countries except iran. jel classification: g15, g11, p34

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Transmission of International Prices of Corn to Iranian Domestic Markets

Market volatility remains one of the most important research fields in agricultural economics.Interestingly, price transmission mechanism seems to be symmetric in sectors that are likely to be of high political power.This paper analyzes the price transmission effects from international markets to domestic markets for corn in Iran. For this purpose, we estimate the elasticity of substitution bet...

متن کامل

Multivariate volatility analysis of VW stock prices

Multivariate GARCH{type models are proposed which allow for asymmetry and size eeects in the conditional variance{covariance matrices of a system of time series variables. These models are applied for analyzing the properties of VW common and preference stock prices. The relationship between the conditional variances of these variables is investigated using suitable impulse responses or conditi...

متن کامل

Stock Prices , Exchange Rates , and Oil : Evidence from Middle East Oil - Exporting Countries

We consider the linkage between stock prices and exchange rates in four Middle East emerging markets. The existing evidence on stock prices and exchange rates typically relies on introduction of a global market index. On the contrary, we find that for the countries of our sample oil prices emerge as the dominant factor in the above relationship. When we focus on the extended sample we do not de...

متن کامل

The Behavior of Core OPEC Members During Normal and Exceptional Periods in the World Oil Markets

The behavior of OPECchr('39')s main exporter, Saudi Arabia and OPECchr('39')s core members (Kuwait, Qatar, and UAE) are of concern to Iran and other oil importing or exporting countries. Excess oil production capacity of OPECchr('39')s core countries lets them to have different behavior in normal and exceptional periods. In this paper, we apply a modified griffin’s model to seasonal data for th...

متن کامل

ANN Model to Predict Stock Prices at Stock Exchange Markets

Stock exchanges are considered major players in financial sectors of many countries. Most Stockbrokers, who execute stock trade, use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in trying to predict stock prices, so as to advise clients. However, these strategies do not usually guarantee good returns because they guide on trends and not the most likely price. It is therefore necessary to expl...

متن کامل

transmission of international prices of corn to iranian domestic markets

market volatility remains one of the most important research fields in agricultural economics.interestingly, price transmission mechanism seems to be symmetric in sectors that are likely to be of high political power.this paper analyzes the price transmission effects from international markets to domestic markets for corn in iran. for this purpose, we estimate the elasticity of substitution bet...

متن کامل

میزبانی شده توسط پلتفرم ابری doprax.com

copyright © 2015-2023